Democrats secured the House majority Tuesday night for the first time in nearly a decade with a projected majority of as many as 35 seats. The victory promises a new era of checks on the Trump administration's healthcare regulatory agenda as well as a possible odd-couple alliance with the White House against Big Pharma.
The GOP held the Senate as expected, gaining on its slim margin with at least two pickups in Indiana and North Dakota. This tightly calibrated Congress likely won't push any major healthcare legislation. And Obamacare will remain in place—albeit tweaked at the state level and through administration policies so the law increasingly looks like a mix of competing Democratic and GOP visions.
Analysts don't expect any big-picture legislation as the sprint to the 2020 presidential election begins. In the especially polarized politics of healthcare, each party bends with their voters, said Robert Blendon, a Harvard University professor of health policy and political analysis. While healthcare polls as a top issue with the majority of voters, priorities shift fast depending on which party is surveyed.
“If I were (saying this) in the mid-1990s, I would say the issues top of mind for all voters would determine what the new House would actually do,” Blendon said.
Pundits called this midterm cycle a base election: healthcare in the 116th Congress will depend on finding the give in the gridlock over a divisive topic.