If Republicans win control of the Senate in November, they almost certainly will vote to repeal Obamacare, joining House Republicans in that effort. But there's zero chance that President Barack Obama will sign a repeal bill.
After that symbolic vote, most conservative analysts expect Republicans to focus their real energy on repealing provisions of the law that provide significant funding for the law's premium subsidies. Some of those efforts could draw Democratic votes.
Topping the GOP hit list are the medical-device tax—projected to yield $29 billion over 10 years to help fund the law's premium subsidies—and the requirement that larger employers either provide coverage for their employees or pay a penalty, which is projected to generate $130 billion. Losing that revenue would blow a big hole in Obamacare funding.
Erasing those provisions is likely to get some Democratic support, particularly on the 2.3% device sales tax. Democrats who represent states and districts where medical-device manufacturers are located have opposed the tax. “It's been pretty clear there's a bipartisan coalition in the House and Senate that believes the medical-device tax has been very harmful to jobs,” said Rep. Erik Paulsen (R-Minn.), chief sponsor of the House proposal.