GOP lawmakers in both chambers of Congress have signaled in recent weeks that an alternative plan is imminent. During last week's three-day House GOP retreat along Maryland's Eastern Shore, House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.) pledged that the House would pass an ACA alternative this year, according to a senior House GOP leadership aide.
Third Way's Kendall said he expects the GOP alternative will include provisions such as block grants for Medicaid and allowing insurance companies to sell the same policies across state lines. “The only way it can resonate is if they offer a way to fix the healthcare system and Obamacare,” he said. “If they continue to play to their base and repeal Obamacare and not do anything, that gets them elected in their primary elections in their district, but it doesn't win them a general election.”
G. William “Bill” Hoagland, senior vice president at the Bipartisan Policy Center, said the House GOP will likely try to eliminate the ACA's risk corridors for insurers, which were designed to provide some financial cushion to carriers offering health plans on the state and federal exchanges if an insurer's medical costs exceed actuarial expectations by a certain amount.
There were rumblings last week on Twitter that House GOP members discussed no “bailouts” for insurance companies during their retreat. Both Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and Rep. Tim Griffin (R-Ark.) introduced companion legislation in November to remove the ACA's risk corridors.
There may also be some movement in the Senate on the GOP side. Sens. Richard Burr (R-N.C.), Tom Coburn (R-Okla.), who is retiring, and Orrin Hatch (R-Wyo.) unveiled an ACA alternative that would transition Medicaid to a capped allotment; reform medical malpractice laws; and cap the exclusion from taxable income of an employee's employer-sponsored health coverage. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), meanwhile, is seeking help from the nation's Republican governors.
“We believe this law is flawed beyond repair, and the only true solution is to repeal Obamacare,” McConnell and two other senators wrote to the Republican Governors Public Policy Committee. “But that's not enough. Obamacare must be replaced with reforms that Americans support.”
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